Croatia Solar Forecast

Across 5 modelled locations in Croatia, a standard 10 kWp south-facing system produces about 13,455 kWh in a typical year on average. Tomorrow's weather-based city forecasts range from 36.5 to 50.2 kWh for the same reference setup.

Forecast for Tuesday, September 1, 2026 · Updated Aug 30, 2026, 11:01 PM UTC · City samples, not a national production forecast

Forecast target: . Any “tomorrow” label on this page refers to this dated target.

Tomorrow in Croatia

One system. Different local weather.

Using the same installation in every location isolates the effect of weather and geography. Enter your own roof on any city page for a personal estimate.

City average
44.8 kWh
Lowest city estimate
36.5 kWh
Highest city estimate
50.2 kWh

How to read and use the data

Croatia solar outlook: tomorrow's city forecasts versus PVGIS yield

This page compares 5 modelled locations on one reference system. It is a city comparison tool, not a measurement or forecast of national solar generation.

Dated, weather-based

Tomorrow's forecast

For Tuesday, September 1, 2026, the 10 kWp city estimates average 44.8 kWh and span 36.5 kWh–50.2 kWh. That span is geographic variation between modelled cities, not an uncertainty interval or national forecast.

Multi-year climate baseline

PVGIS specific yield

The modelled cities average about 1,345 kWh/kWp in the PVGIS typical-year profile. Across the 10 kWp reference systems, typical annual output ranges from 12,344 to 14,925 kWh. July has the highest modelled average monthly output and December the lowest.

3, 5 and 10 kWp reference systems

Scale the same assumptions to your system size

SystemTomorrow city average (city spread)PVGIS typical year
3 kWpTomorrow city average (city spread)13.4 kWh10.9 kWh–15.1 kWhPVGIS typical year4,036 kWh/year
5 kWpTomorrow city average (city spread)22.4 kWh18.3 kWh–25.1 kWhPVGIS typical year6,727 kWh/year
10 kWpTomorrow city average (city spread)44.8 kWh36.5 kWh–50.2 kWhPVGIS typical year13,455 kWh/year

Linear reference scaling only: south-facing, 35° tilt and 14% system losses. It does not resize inverter clipping, shade or local roof constraints.

From forecast to a household plan

Battery, EV, heat pump and flexible loads

Choose the nearest representative city before scheduling equipment. A country average can frame the day, but a local forecast and the home's own demand determine usable surplus.

Battery

Use the nearest city, not the country mean

Open the closest city profile and preserve battery headroom around its strongest forecast window. The 36.5 kWh–50.2 kWh country spread shows why one national schedule would be unreliable.

Heat pump

Follow the local production window

Shift only discretionary water heating or pre-heating after checking the nearest city's strongest hours. Comfort, frost protection and hygiene controls take priority.

Large loads

Stagger flexible appliances

Country figures are daily energy, not simultaneous power. Use a city forecast and run flexible loads sequentially after allowing for base household consumption.

Local questions

Solar forecast FAQ

How much could a 5 kWp solar system produce tomorrow in Croatia?

Across the 5 modelled locations, the 5 kWp estimates average 22.4 kWh for Tuesday, September 1, 2026 and span 18.3 kWh–25.1 kWh between cities. The spread is geographic, not a national uncertainty range.

Which modelled Croatia location has the highest typical PV output?

Split has the highest and Zagreb the lowest typical annual output among the 5 locations in this dataset. The comparison uses the same 10 kWp reference system and PVGIS climate profile.

Is the Croatia city range a national solar forecast?

No. It is the minimum-to-maximum spread across 5 modelled city reference points. It does not aggregate installed solar systems, represent every local weather condition or provide a national generation total.

How should I use the Croatia forecast for a battery, EV or heat pump?

Select the nearest city and use its strongest forecast hours, then subtract household base load and respect battery, charger and heat-pump operating limits. Use the country page to compare locations, not to control equipment directly.

Typical year

Monthly solar production across Croatia

The bars average the 5 city reference points. Typical annual output ranges from about 12,344 to 14,925 kWh for the 10 kWp setup. Of the locations modelled, Split has the highest typical annual output and Zagreb the lowest.

January701 kWh
February804 kWh
March1,159 kWh
April1,306 kWh
May1,395 kWh
June1,461 kWh
July1,562 kWh
August1,504 kWh
September1,247 kWh
October1,042 kWh
November666 kWh
December608 kWh

Typical monthly profiles use the European Commission JRC PVGIS multi-year climate series.

Local profiles

All 5 Croatia city forecasts

Tomorrow, in one email

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