View of Narva from Hermann Castle in May of 2026.

Estonia · 10 kWp reference system

Narva solar forecast and PV yield

Photo: WeaponizingArchitecture,CC BY 4.0. Cropped, resized and converted to WebP by GridPassport.

Forecast target: . Any “tomorrow” label on this page refers to this dated target.

Tomorrow's forecast
19.2 kWh
10 kWp reference system
Typical annual output
9,270 kWh
10 kWp reference system
Typical specific yield
927 kWh/kWp
Per year

Tuesday, September 1, 2026

About 19.2 kWh tomorrow

For a standard 10 kWp south-facing system in Narva, GridPassport estimates 19.2 kWh on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, with a likely range of 12.1-25.9 kWh. The strongest production window is expected at 11:00-15:00 local time.

Updated Aug 31, 2026, 02:01 AM GMT+3 · fresh snapshot
Likely range
12.1-25.9 kWh
Strongest window
11:00-15:00
Confidence
medium
Forecast my solar output

How to read and use the data

Narva solar forecast: daily weather versus long-term PV yield

The daily and annual figures answer different questions. Use the dated forecast to plan tomorrow, and the PVGIS specific yield to compare locations or estimate a typical year.

Dated, weather-based

Tomorrow's forecast

Tomorrow's value is a weather-based estimate for Tuesday, September 1, 2026: 19.2 kWh from the 10 kWp reference system, with a likely range of 12.1 kWh–25.9 kWh. It changes with the next weather forecast.

Multi-year climate baseline

PVGIS specific yield

Narva's PVGIS specific yield is about 927 kWh/kWp per year. It is a multi-year climate benchmark, not a prediction for tomorrow or for this calendar year. In the PVGIS profile, May is typically the strongest month and December the weakest.

3, 5 and 10 kWp reference systems

Scale the same assumptions to your system size

SystemTomorrow estimate (likely range)PVGIS typical year
3 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)5.8 kWh3.6 kWh–7.8 kWhPVGIS typical year2,781 kWh/year
5 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)9.6 kWh6.0 kWh–12.9 kWhPVGIS typical year4,635 kWh/year
10 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)19.2 kWh12.1 kWh–25.9 kWhPVGIS typical year9,270 kWh/year

Linear reference scaling only: south-facing, 35° tilt and 14% system losses. It does not resize inverter clipping, shade or local roof constraints.

From forecast to a household plan

Battery, EV, heat pump and flexible loads

Treat the forecast as a gross solar-energy budget before household base load and conversion losses. The numbers support scheduling; they do not guarantee surplus.

Battery

Keep room for the solar window

Use 11:00-15:00 as the first candidate charging window. Battery state of charge, reserve settings and inverter limits still decide how much can be stored.

Heat pump

Shift only flexible thermal demand

If comfort controls allow it, place discretionary hot-water heating or pre-heating inside 11:00-15:00. Never override frost protection, hygiene cycles or manufacturer limits.

Large loads

Avoid stacking appliances

A 3 kWp system scales to about 5.8 kWh for the day before household use. Run flexible loads sequentially during the strongest hours rather than assuming all forecast energy is simultaneous power.

Local questions

Solar forecast FAQ

How much could a 5 kWp solar system produce tomorrow in Narva?

Using the same south-facing, 35-degree and 14% loss assumptions, the 5 kWp estimate is 9.6 kWh for Tuesday, September 1, 2026, with a scaled likely range of 6.0 kWh–12.9 kWh. This is a linear reference-system estimate, not a site survey.

What does 927 kWh/kWp mean for Narva?

It means the PVGIS multi-year profile produces about 927 kWh in a typical year for each installed kWp under the reference assumptions. A 5 kWp system therefore scales to about 4,635 kWh in a typical year before site-specific adjustments.

Is the Narva forecast the same as the PVGIS annual estimate?

No. Tomorrow's forecast uses dated weather and an uncertainty band for one day. The PVGIS figure is a multi-year climate-based specific yield used for typical monthly and annual comparisons.

When should a battery, EV or heat pump use solar in Narva?

Start with 11:00-15:00, then check household base load, battery headroom, EV energy required and heat-pump safety or comfort constraints. The forecast estimates daily energy, not guaranteed instantaneous surplus.

Typical year

Solar production month by month in Narva

A standard 10 kWp system produces about 9,270 kWh in a typical year at this location. Monthly averages show seasonality; they are not a forecast for a specific year.

Values are kWh per month. Source: European Commission JRC PVGIS.

What makes Narva's solar profile different?The typical annual yield is about 927 kWh per installed kWp, ranking Narva #4 of 4 modelled locations in Estonia. That is 2% below the median of the 4 Estonia locations in this dataset. May is typically the strongest month and December the weakest; the stronger month produces about 17.3 times as much.

See the 12-month data
MonthMonthly outputDaily averageYear-to-year variation
MonthJanuaryMonthly output151 kWhDaily average4.9 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±51 kWh
MonthFebruaryMonthly output388 kWhDaily average13.9 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±125 kWh
MonthMarchMonthly output906 kWhDaily average29.2 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±215 kWh
MonthAprilMonthly output1,138 kWhDaily average37.9 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±158 kWh
MonthMayMonthly output1,406 kWhDaily average45.4 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±187 kWh
MonthJuneMonthly output1,395 kWhDaily average46.5 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±151 kWh
MonthJulyMonthly output1,356 kWhDaily average43.7 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±158 kWh
MonthAugustMonthly output1,124 kWhDaily average36.2 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±146 kWh
MonthSeptemberMonthly output767 kWhDaily average25.6 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±119 kWh
MonthOctoberMonthly output414 kWhDaily average13.4 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±96 kWh
MonthNovemberMonthly output143 kWhDaily average4.8 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±33 kWh
MonthDecemberMonthly output81 kWhDaily average2.6 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±21 kWh

Nearby solar forecasts

Compare Narva with nearby cities

Tomorrow, in one email

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Method and data

Every city uses a 10 kWp system facing south at 35 degrees with 14% system losses. Tomorrow's figure combines hourly weather with GridPassport's PV production and uncertainty model. The monthly profile uses the European Commission JRC PVGIS multi-year climate series. Roof direction, shade, snow, dirt, inverter clipping and local weather can change real output.

CSV and JSON snapshots are published under CC BY 4.0 with source attribution.