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France · 10 kWp reference system

Lyon solar forecast and PV yield

Photo: Aldg692VX,CC BY-SA 4.0. Cropped, resized and converted to WebP by GridPassport.

Forecast target: . Any “tomorrow” label on this page refers to this dated target.

Tomorrow's forecast
54.4 kWh
10 kWp reference system
Typical annual output
12,883 kWh
10 kWp reference system
Typical specific yield
1,288 kWh/kWp
Per year

Tuesday, September 1, 2026

About 54.4 kWh tomorrow

For a standard 10 kWp south-facing system in Lyon, GridPassport estimates 54.4 kWh on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, with a likely range of 42.2-56.2 kWh. The strongest production window is expected at 12:00-16:00 local time.

Updated Aug 31, 2026, 01:01 AM GMT+2 · fresh snapshot
Likely range
42.2-56.2 kWh
Strongest window
12:00-16:00
Confidence
medium
Forecast my solar output

How to read and use the data

Lyon solar forecast: daily weather versus long-term PV yield

The daily and annual figures answer different questions. Use the dated forecast to plan tomorrow, and the PVGIS specific yield to compare locations or estimate a typical year.

Dated, weather-based

Tomorrow's forecast

Tomorrow's value is a weather-based estimate for Tuesday, September 1, 2026: 54.4 kWh from the 10 kWp reference system, with a likely range of 42.2 kWh–56.2 kWh. It changes with the next weather forecast.

Multi-year climate baseline

PVGIS specific yield

Lyon's PVGIS specific yield is about 1,288 kWh/kWp per year. It is a multi-year climate benchmark, not a prediction for tomorrow or for this calendar year. In the PVGIS profile, July is typically the strongest month and December the weakest.

3, 5 and 10 kWp reference systems

Scale the same assumptions to your system size

SystemTomorrow estimate (likely range)PVGIS typical year
3 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)16.3 kWh12.7 kWh–16.9 kWhPVGIS typical year3,865 kWh/year
5 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)27.2 kWh21.1 kWh–28.1 kWhPVGIS typical year6,442 kWh/year
10 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)54.4 kWh42.2 kWh–56.2 kWhPVGIS typical year12,883 kWh/year

Linear reference scaling only: south-facing, 35° tilt and 14% system losses. It does not resize inverter clipping, shade or local roof constraints.

From forecast to a household plan

Battery, EV, heat pump and flexible loads

Treat the forecast as a gross solar-energy budget before household base load and conversion losses. The numbers support scheduling; they do not guarantee surplus.

Battery

Keep room for the solar window

Use 12:00-16:00 as the first candidate charging window. Battery state of charge, reserve settings and inverter limits still decide how much can be stored.

Heat pump

Shift only flexible thermal demand

If comfort controls allow it, place discretionary hot-water heating or pre-heating inside 12:00-16:00. Never override frost protection, hygiene cycles or manufacturer limits.

Large loads

Avoid stacking appliances

A 3 kWp system scales to about 16.3 kWh for the day before household use. Run flexible loads sequentially during the strongest hours rather than assuming all forecast energy is simultaneous power.

Local questions

Solar forecast FAQ

How much could a 5 kWp solar system produce tomorrow in Lyon?

Using the same south-facing, 35-degree and 14% loss assumptions, the 5 kWp estimate is 27.2 kWh for Tuesday, September 1, 2026, with a scaled likely range of 21.1 kWh–28.1 kWh. This is a linear reference-system estimate, not a site survey.

What does 1,288 kWh/kWp mean for Lyon?

It means the PVGIS multi-year profile produces about 1,288 kWh in a typical year for each installed kWp under the reference assumptions. A 5 kWp system therefore scales to about 6,442 kWh in a typical year before site-specific adjustments.

Is the Lyon forecast the same as the PVGIS annual estimate?

No. Tomorrow's forecast uses dated weather and an uncertainty band for one day. The PVGIS figure is a multi-year climate-based specific yield used for typical monthly and annual comparisons.

When should a battery, EV or heat pump use solar in Lyon?

Start with 12:00-16:00, then check household base load, battery headroom, EV energy required and heat-pump safety or comfort constraints. The forecast estimates daily energy, not guaranteed instantaneous surplus.

Typical year

Solar production month by month in Lyon

A standard 10 kWp system produces about 12,883 kWh in a typical year at this location. Monthly averages show seasonality; they are not a forecast for a specific year.

Values are kWh per month. Source: European Commission JRC PVGIS.

What makes Lyon's solar profile different?The typical annual yield is about 1,288 kWh per installed kWp, ranking Lyon #5 of 10 modelled locations in France. That is close to the median of the 10 France locations in this dataset. July is typically the strongest month and December the weakest; the stronger month produces about 2.8 times as much.

See the 12-month data
MonthMonthly outputDaily averageYear-to-year variation
MonthJanuaryMonthly output583 kWhDaily average18.8 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±99 kWh
MonthFebruaryMonthly output805 kWhDaily average28.8 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±174 kWh
MonthMarchMonthly output1,175 kWhDaily average37.9 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±156 kWh
MonthAprilMonthly output1,313 kWhDaily average43.8 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±184 kWh
MonthMayMonthly output1,351 kWhDaily average43.6 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±155 kWh
MonthJuneMonthly output1,407 kWhDaily average46.9 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±118 kWh
MonthJulyMonthly output1,486 kWhDaily average48.0 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±151 kWh
MonthAugustMonthly output1,407 kWhDaily average45.4 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±88 kWh
MonthSeptemberMonthly output1,252 kWhDaily average41.7 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±91 kWh
MonthOctoberMonthly output956 kWhDaily average30.8 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±129 kWh
MonthNovemberMonthly output626 kWhDaily average20.9 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±92 kWh
MonthDecemberMonthly output522 kWhDaily average16.8 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±119 kWh

Nearby solar forecasts

Compare Lyon with nearby cities

Tomorrow, in one email

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Method and data

Every city uses a 10 kWp system facing south at 35 degrees with 14% system losses. Tomorrow's figure combines hourly weather with GridPassport's PV production and uncertainty model. The monthly profile uses the European Commission JRC PVGIS multi-year climate series. Roof direction, shade, snow, dirt, inverter clipping and local weather can change real output.

CSV and JSON snapshots are published under CC BY 4.0 with source attribution.