Wasserschloss Haus Bodelschwingh, Schloßstraße in Dortmund

Germany · 10 kWp reference system

Dortmund solar forecast and PV yield

Photo: Frank Vincentz,CC BY-SA 3.0. Cropped, resized and converted to WebP by GridPassport.

Forecast target: . Any “tomorrow” label on this page refers to this dated target.

Tomorrow's forecast
26.7 kWh
10 kWp reference system
Typical annual output
10,211 kWh
10 kWp reference system
Typical specific yield
1,021 kWh/kWp
Per year

Tuesday, September 1, 2026

About 26.7 kWh tomorrow

For a standard 10 kWp south-facing system in Dortmund, GridPassport estimates 26.7 kWh on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, with a likely range of 17.3-33.6 kWh. The strongest production window is expected at 14:00-18:00 local time.

Updated Aug 31, 2026, 01:01 AM GMT+2 · fresh snapshot
Likely range
17.3-33.6 kWh
Strongest window
14:00-18:00
Confidence
medium
Forecast my solar output

How to read and use the data

Dortmund solar forecast: daily weather versus long-term PV yield

The daily and annual figures answer different questions. Use the dated forecast to plan tomorrow, and the PVGIS specific yield to compare locations or estimate a typical year.

Dated, weather-based

Tomorrow's forecast

Tomorrow's value is a weather-based estimate for Tuesday, September 1, 2026: 26.7 kWh from the 10 kWp reference system, with a likely range of 17.3 kWh–33.6 kWh. It changes with the next weather forecast.

Multi-year climate baseline

PVGIS specific yield

Dortmund's PVGIS specific yield is about 1,021 kWh/kWp per year. It is a multi-year climate benchmark, not a prediction for tomorrow or for this calendar year. In the PVGIS profile, May is typically the strongest month and December the weakest.

3, 5 and 10 kWp reference systems

Scale the same assumptions to your system size

SystemTomorrow estimate (likely range)PVGIS typical year
3 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)8.0 kWh5.2 kWh–10.1 kWhPVGIS typical year3,063 kWh/year
5 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)13.3 kWh8.7 kWh–16.8 kWhPVGIS typical year5,106 kWh/year
10 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)26.7 kWh17.3 kWh–33.6 kWhPVGIS typical year10,211 kWh/year

Linear reference scaling only: south-facing, 35° tilt and 14% system losses. It does not resize inverter clipping, shade or local roof constraints.

From forecast to a household plan

Battery, EV, heat pump and flexible loads

Treat the forecast as a gross solar-energy budget before household base load and conversion losses. The numbers support scheduling; they do not guarantee surplus.

Battery

Keep room for the solar window

Use 14:00-18:00 as the first candidate charging window. Battery state of charge, reserve settings and inverter limits still decide how much can be stored.

Heat pump

Shift only flexible thermal demand

If comfort controls allow it, place discretionary hot-water heating or pre-heating inside 14:00-18:00. Never override frost protection, hygiene cycles or manufacturer limits.

Large loads

Avoid stacking appliances

A 3 kWp system scales to about 8.0 kWh for the day before household use. Run flexible loads sequentially during the strongest hours rather than assuming all forecast energy is simultaneous power.

Local questions

Solar forecast FAQ

How much could a 5 kWp solar system produce tomorrow in Dortmund?

Using the same south-facing, 35-degree and 14% loss assumptions, the 5 kWp estimate is 13.3 kWh for Tuesday, September 1, 2026, with a scaled likely range of 8.7 kWh–16.8 kWh. This is a linear reference-system estimate, not a site survey.

What does 1,021 kWh/kWp mean for Dortmund?

It means the PVGIS multi-year profile produces about 1,021 kWh in a typical year for each installed kWp under the reference assumptions. A 5 kWp system therefore scales to about 5,106 kWh in a typical year before site-specific adjustments.

Is the Dortmund forecast the same as the PVGIS annual estimate?

No. Tomorrow's forecast uses dated weather and an uncertainty band for one day. The PVGIS figure is a multi-year climate-based specific yield used for typical monthly and annual comparisons.

When should a battery, EV or heat pump use solar in Dortmund?

Start with 14:00-18:00, then check household base load, battery headroom, EV energy required and heat-pump safety or comfort constraints. The forecast estimates daily energy, not guaranteed instantaneous surplus.

Typical year

Solar production month by month in Dortmund

A standard 10 kWp system produces about 10,211 kWh in a typical year at this location. Monthly averages show seasonality; they are not a forecast for a specific year.

Values are kWh per month. Source: European Commission JRC PVGIS.

What makes Dortmund's solar profile different?The typical annual yield is about 1,021 kWh per installed kWp, ranking Dortmund #9 of 12 modelled locations in Germany. That is 2% below the median of the 12 Germany locations in this dataset. May is typically the strongest month and December the weakest; the stronger month produces about 4.3 times as much.

See the 12-month data
MonthMonthly outputDaily averageYear-to-year variation
MonthJanuaryMonthly output342 kWhDaily average11.0 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±87 kWh
MonthFebruaryMonthly output530 kWhDaily average18.9 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±134 kWh
MonthMarchMonthly output895 kWhDaily average28.9 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±183 kWh
MonthAprilMonthly output1,146 kWhDaily average38.2 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±182 kWh
MonthMayMonthly output1,258 kWhDaily average40.6 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±151 kWh
MonthJuneMonthly output1,255 kWhDaily average41.9 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±145 kWh
MonthJulyMonthly output1,231 kWhDaily average39.7 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±147 kWh
MonthAugustMonthly output1,150 kWhDaily average37.1 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±126 kWh
MonthSeptemberMonthly output971 kWhDaily average32.4 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±119 kWh
MonthOctoberMonthly output707 kWhDaily average22.8 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±115 kWh
MonthNovemberMonthly output432 kWhDaily average14.4 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±114 kWh
MonthDecemberMonthly output293 kWhDaily average9.5 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±86 kWh

Nearby solar forecasts

Compare Dortmund with nearby cities

Tomorrow, in one email

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Method and data

Every city uses a 10 kWp system facing south at 35 degrees with 14% system losses. Tomorrow's figure combines hourly weather with GridPassport's PV production and uncertainty model. The monthly profile uses the European Commission JRC PVGIS multi-year climate series. Roof direction, shade, snow, dirt, inverter clipping and local weather can change real output.

CSV and JSON snapshots are published under CC BY 4.0 with source attribution.