Germany · 10 kWp reference system

Duisburg solar forecast and PV yield

Forecast target: . Any “tomorrow” label on this page refers to this dated target.

Tomorrow's forecast
9.4 kWh
10 kWp reference system
Typical annual output
10,103 kWh
10 kWp reference system
Typical specific yield
1,010 kWh/kWp
Per year

Friday, October 23, 2026

About 9.4 kWh tomorrow

For a standard 10 kWp south-facing system in Duisburg, GridPassport estimates 9.4 kWh on Friday, October 23, 2026, with a likely range of 5.4-13.2 kWh. The strongest production window is expected at 14:00-18:00 local time.

Updated Oct 22, 2026, 04:01 AM GMT+2 · Automatically refreshed
Likely range
5.4-13.2 kWh
Strongest window
14:00-18:00
Confidence
medium
Forecast my solar output

Typical year

Solar production month by month in Duisburg

A standard 10 kWp system produces about 10,103 kWh in a typical year at this location. Monthly averages show seasonality; they are not a forecast for a specific year.

Values are kWh per month. Source: European Commission JRC PVGIS.

What makes Duisburg's solar profile different?The typical annual yield is about 1,010 kWh per installed kWp, ranking Duisburg #59 of 77 modelled locations in Germany. That is 3% below the median of the 77 Germany locations in this dataset. May is typically the strongest month and December the weakest; the stronger month produces about 4.5 times as much.

See the 12-month data
MonthMonthly outputDaily averageYear-to-year variation
MonthJanuaryMonthly output340 kWhDaily average11.0 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±96 kWh
MonthFebruaryMonthly output518 kWhDaily average18.5 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±133 kWh
MonthMarchMonthly output881 kWhDaily average28.4 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±188 kWh
MonthAprilMonthly output1,153 kWhDaily average38.4 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±177 kWh
MonthMayMonthly output1,256 kWhDaily average40.5 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±161 kWh
MonthJuneMonthly output1,244 kWhDaily average41.5 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±144 kWh
MonthJulyMonthly output1,235 kWhDaily average39.8 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±142 kWh
MonthAugustMonthly output1,129 kWhDaily average36.4 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±129 kWh
MonthSeptemberMonthly output954 kWhDaily average31.8 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±105 kWh
MonthOctoberMonthly output697 kWhDaily average22.5 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±114 kWh
MonthNovemberMonthly output416 kWhDaily average13.9 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±99 kWh
MonthDecemberMonthly output282 kWhDaily average9.1 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±76 kWh

How to read and use the data

Duisburg solar forecast: daily weather versus long-term PV yield

The daily and annual figures answer different questions. Use the dated forecast to plan tomorrow, and the PVGIS specific yield to compare locations or estimate a typical year.

Dated, weather-based

Tomorrow's forecast

Tomorrow's value is a weather-based estimate for Friday, October 23, 2026: 9.4 kWh from the 10 kWp reference system, with a likely range of 5.4 kWh–13.2 kWh. It changes with the next weather forecast.

Multi-year climate baseline

PVGIS specific yield

Duisburg's PVGIS specific yield is about 1,010 kWh/kWp per year. It is a multi-year climate benchmark, not a prediction for tomorrow or for this calendar year. In the PVGIS profile, May is typically the strongest month and December the weakest.

3, 5 and 10 kWp reference systems

Scale the same assumptions to your system size

SystemTomorrow estimate (likely range)PVGIS typical year
3 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)2.8 kWh1.6 kWh–4.0 kWhPVGIS typical year3,031 kWh/year
5 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)4.7 kWh2.7 kWh–6.6 kWhPVGIS typical year5,051 kWh/year
10 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)9.4 kWh5.4 kWh–13.2 kWhPVGIS typical year10,103 kWh/year

Linear reference scaling only: south-facing, 35° tilt and 14% system losses. It does not resize inverter clipping, shade or local roof constraints.

From forecast to a household plan

Battery, EV, heat pump and flexible loads

Treat the forecast as a gross solar-energy budget before household base load and conversion losses. The numbers support scheduling; they do not guarantee surplus.

Battery

Keep room for the solar window

Use 14:00-18:00 as the first candidate charging window. Battery state of charge, reserve settings and inverter limits still decide how much can be stored.

Heat pump

Shift only flexible thermal demand

If comfort controls allow it, place discretionary hot-water heating or pre-heating inside 14:00-18:00. Never override frost protection, hygiene cycles or manufacturer limits.

Large loads

Avoid stacking appliances

A 3 kWp system scales to about 2.8 kWh for the day before household use. Run flexible loads sequentially during the strongest hours rather than assuming all forecast energy is simultaneous power.

Local questions

Solar forecast FAQ

How much could a 5 kWp solar system produce tomorrow in Duisburg?

Using the same south-facing, 35-degree and 14% loss assumptions, the 5 kWp estimate is 4.7 kWh for Friday, October 23, 2026, with a scaled likely range of 2.7 kWh–6.6 kWh. This is a linear reference-system estimate, not a site survey.

What does 1,010 kWh/kWp mean for Duisburg?

It means the PVGIS multi-year profile produces about 1,010 kWh in a typical year for each installed kWp under the reference assumptions. A 5 kWp system therefore scales to about 5,051 kWh in a typical year before site-specific adjustments.

Is the Duisburg forecast the same as the PVGIS annual estimate?

No. Tomorrow's forecast uses dated weather and an uncertainty band for one day. The PVGIS figure is a multi-year climate-based specific yield used for typical monthly and annual comparisons.

When should a battery, EV or heat pump use solar in Duisburg?

Start with 14:00-18:00, then check household base load, battery headroom, EV energy required and heat-pump safety or comfort constraints. The forecast estimates daily energy, not guaranteed instantaneous surplus.

Checking your own installation? Learn how to compare a solar forecast with inverter production, or explore 5 kWp output in winter versus summer. Use the free PV forecast calculator for your exact location and roof settings.

Nearby solar forecasts

Compare Duisburg with nearby cities

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Method and data

Every city uses a 10 kWp system facing south at 35 degrees with 14% system losses. Tomorrow's figure combines hourly weather with GridPassport's PV production and uncertainty model. The monthly profile uses the European Commission JRC PVGIS multi-year climate series. Roof direction, shade, snow, dirt, inverter clipping and local weather can change real output.

CSV and JSON snapshots are published under CC BY 4.0 with source attribution.