Germany · 10 kWp reference system

Erlangen solar forecast and PV yield

Forecast target: . Any “tomorrow” label on this page refers to this dated target.

Tomorrow's forecast
8.2 kWh
10 kWp reference system
Typical annual output
10,673 kWh
10 kWp reference system
Typical specific yield
1,067 kWh/kWp
Per year

Friday, October 23, 2026

About 8.2 kWh tomorrow

For a standard 10 kWp south-facing system in Erlangen, GridPassport estimates 8.2 kWh on Friday, October 23, 2026, with a likely range of 5.4-10.5 kWh. The strongest production window is expected at 14:00-18:00 local time.

Updated Oct 22, 2026, 04:01 AM GMT+2 · Automatically refreshed
Likely range
5.4-10.5 kWh
Strongest window
14:00-18:00
Confidence
medium
Forecast my solar output

Typical year

Solar production month by month in Erlangen

A standard 10 kWp system produces about 10,673 kWh in a typical year at this location. Monthly averages show seasonality; they are not a forecast for a specific year.

Values are kWh per month. Source: European Commission JRC PVGIS.

What makes Erlangen's solar profile different?The typical annual yield is about 1,067 kWh per installed kWp, ranking Erlangen #25 of 77 modelled locations in Germany. That is 3% above the median of the 77 Germany locations in this dataset. July is typically the strongest month and December the weakest; the stronger month produces about 4.1 times as much.

See the 12-month data
MonthMonthly outputDaily averageYear-to-year variation
MonthJanuaryMonthly output370 kWhDaily average11.9 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±94 kWh
MonthFebruaryMonthly output586 kWhDaily average20.9 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±135 kWh
MonthMarchMonthly output931 kWhDaily average30.0 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±182 kWh
MonthAprilMonthly output1,198 kWhDaily average39.9 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±190 kWh
MonthMayMonthly output1,263 kWhDaily average40.8 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±170 kWh
MonthJuneMonthly output1,277 kWhDaily average42.6 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±139 kWh
MonthJulyMonthly output1,307 kWhDaily average42.1 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±138 kWh
MonthAugustMonthly output1,203 kWhDaily average38.8 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±124 kWh
MonthSeptemberMonthly output1,046 kWhDaily average34.9 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±142 kWh
MonthOctoberMonthly output754 kWhDaily average24.3 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±126 kWh
MonthNovemberMonthly output421 kWhDaily average14.0 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±90 kWh
MonthDecemberMonthly output316 kWhDaily average10.2 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±58 kWh

How to read and use the data

Erlangen solar forecast: daily weather versus long-term PV yield

The daily and annual figures answer different questions. Use the dated forecast to plan tomorrow, and the PVGIS specific yield to compare locations or estimate a typical year.

Dated, weather-based

Tomorrow's forecast

Tomorrow's value is a weather-based estimate for Friday, October 23, 2026: 8.2 kWh from the 10 kWp reference system, with a likely range of 5.4 kWh–10.5 kWh. It changes with the next weather forecast.

Multi-year climate baseline

PVGIS specific yield

Erlangen's PVGIS specific yield is about 1,067 kWh/kWp per year. It is a multi-year climate benchmark, not a prediction for tomorrow or for this calendar year. In the PVGIS profile, July is typically the strongest month and December the weakest.

3, 5 and 10 kWp reference systems

Scale the same assumptions to your system size

SystemTomorrow estimate (likely range)PVGIS typical year
3 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)2.5 kWh1.6 kWh–3.1 kWhPVGIS typical year3,202 kWh/year
5 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)4.1 kWh2.7 kWh–5.3 kWhPVGIS typical year5,337 kWh/year
10 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)8.2 kWh5.4 kWh–10.5 kWhPVGIS typical year10,673 kWh/year

Linear reference scaling only: south-facing, 35° tilt and 14% system losses. It does not resize inverter clipping, shade or local roof constraints.

From forecast to a household plan

Battery, EV, heat pump and flexible loads

Treat the forecast as a gross solar-energy budget before household base load and conversion losses. The numbers support scheduling; they do not guarantee surplus.

Battery

Keep room for the solar window

Use 14:00-18:00 as the first candidate charging window. Battery state of charge, reserve settings and inverter limits still decide how much can be stored.

Heat pump

Shift only flexible thermal demand

If comfort controls allow it, place discretionary hot-water heating or pre-heating inside 14:00-18:00. Never override frost protection, hygiene cycles or manufacturer limits.

Large loads

Avoid stacking appliances

A 3 kWp system scales to about 2.5 kWh for the day before household use. Run flexible loads sequentially during the strongest hours rather than assuming all forecast energy is simultaneous power.

Local questions

Solar forecast FAQ

How much could a 5 kWp solar system produce tomorrow in Erlangen?

Using the same south-facing, 35-degree and 14% loss assumptions, the 5 kWp estimate is 4.1 kWh for Friday, October 23, 2026, with a scaled likely range of 2.7 kWh–5.3 kWh. This is a linear reference-system estimate, not a site survey.

What does 1,067 kWh/kWp mean for Erlangen?

It means the PVGIS multi-year profile produces about 1,067 kWh in a typical year for each installed kWp under the reference assumptions. A 5 kWp system therefore scales to about 5,337 kWh in a typical year before site-specific adjustments.

Is the Erlangen forecast the same as the PVGIS annual estimate?

No. Tomorrow's forecast uses dated weather and an uncertainty band for one day. The PVGIS figure is a multi-year climate-based specific yield used for typical monthly and annual comparisons.

When should a battery, EV or heat pump use solar in Erlangen?

Start with 14:00-18:00, then check household base load, battery headroom, EV energy required and heat-pump safety or comfort constraints. The forecast estimates daily energy, not guaranteed instantaneous surplus.

Checking your own installation? Learn how to compare a solar forecast with inverter production, or explore 5 kWp output in winter versus summer. Use the free PV forecast calculator for your exact location and roof settings.

Nearby solar forecasts

Compare Erlangen with nearby cities

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Method and data

Every city uses a 10 kWp system facing south at 35 degrees with 14% system losses. Tomorrow's figure combines hourly weather with GridPassport's PV production and uncertainty model. The monthly profile uses the European Commission JRC PVGIS multi-year climate series. Roof direction, shade, snow, dirt, inverter clipping and local weather can change real output.

CSV and JSON snapshots are published under CC BY 4.0 with source attribution.