Germany · 10 kWp reference system

Ulm solar forecast and PV yield

Forecast target: . Any “tomorrow” label on this page refers to this dated target.

Tomorrow's forecast
39.7 kWh
10 kWp reference system
Typical annual output
11,225 kWh
10 kWp reference system
Typical specific yield
1,122 kWh/kWp
Per year

Monday, October 5, 2026

About 39.7 kWh tomorrow

For a standard 10 kWp south-facing system in Ulm, GridPassport estimates 39.7 kWh on Monday, October 5, 2026, with a likely range of 31.8-44.9 kWh. The strongest production window is expected at 13:00-17:00 local time.

Updated Oct 4, 2026, 11:01 PM GMT+2 · Automatically refreshed
Likely range
31.8-44.9 kWh
Strongest window
13:00-17:00
Confidence
medium
Forecast my solar output

How to read and use the data

Ulm solar forecast: daily weather versus long-term PV yield

The daily and annual figures answer different questions. Use the dated forecast to plan tomorrow, and the PVGIS specific yield to compare locations or estimate a typical year.

Dated, weather-based

Tomorrow's forecast

Tomorrow's value is a weather-based estimate for Monday, October 5, 2026: 39.7 kWh from the 10 kWp reference system, with a likely range of 31.8 kWh–44.9 kWh. It changes with the next weather forecast.

Multi-year climate baseline

PVGIS specific yield

Ulm's PVGIS specific yield is about 1,122 kWh/kWp per year. It is a multi-year climate benchmark, not a prediction for tomorrow or for this calendar year. In the PVGIS profile, July is typically the strongest month and December the weakest.

3, 5 and 10 kWp reference systems

Scale the same assumptions to your system size

SystemTomorrow estimate (likely range)PVGIS typical year
3 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)11.9 kWh9.5 kWh–13.5 kWhPVGIS typical year3,367 kWh/year
5 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)19.9 kWh15.9 kWh–22.4 kWhPVGIS typical year5,612 kWh/year
10 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)39.7 kWh31.8 kWh–44.9 kWhPVGIS typical year11,225 kWh/year

Linear reference scaling only: south-facing, 35° tilt and 14% system losses. It does not resize inverter clipping, shade or local roof constraints.

From forecast to a household plan

Battery, EV, heat pump and flexible loads

Treat the forecast as a gross solar-energy budget before household base load and conversion losses. The numbers support scheduling; they do not guarantee surplus.

Battery

Keep room for the solar window

Use 13:00-17:00 as the first candidate charging window. Battery state of charge, reserve settings and inverter limits still decide how much can be stored.

Heat pump

Shift only flexible thermal demand

If comfort controls allow it, place discretionary hot-water heating or pre-heating inside 13:00-17:00. Never override frost protection, hygiene cycles or manufacturer limits.

Large loads

Avoid stacking appliances

A 3 kWp system scales to about 11.9 kWh for the day before household use. Run flexible loads sequentially during the strongest hours rather than assuming all forecast energy is simultaneous power.

Local questions

Solar forecast FAQ

How much could a 5 kWp solar system produce tomorrow in Ulm?

Using the same south-facing, 35-degree and 14% loss assumptions, the 5 kWp estimate is 19.9 kWh for Monday, October 5, 2026, with a scaled likely range of 15.9 kWh–22.4 kWh. This is a linear reference-system estimate, not a site survey.

What does 1,122 kWh/kWp mean for Ulm?

It means the PVGIS multi-year profile produces about 1,122 kWh in a typical year for each installed kWp under the reference assumptions. A 5 kWp system therefore scales to about 5,612 kWh in a typical year before site-specific adjustments.

Is the Ulm forecast the same as the PVGIS annual estimate?

No. Tomorrow's forecast uses dated weather and an uncertainty band for one day. The PVGIS figure is a multi-year climate-based specific yield used for typical monthly and annual comparisons.

When should a battery, EV or heat pump use solar in Ulm?

Start with 13:00-17:00, then check household base load, battery headroom, EV energy required and heat-pump safety or comfort constraints. The forecast estimates daily energy, not guaranteed instantaneous surplus.

Checking your own installation? Learn how to compare a solar forecast with inverter production, or explore 5 kWp output in winter versus summer. Use the free PV forecast calculator for your exact location and roof settings.

Typical year

Solar production month by month in Ulm

A standard 10 kWp system produces about 11,225 kWh in a typical year at this location. Monthly averages show seasonality; they are not a forecast for a specific year.

Values are kWh per month. Source: European Commission JRC PVGIS.

What makes Ulm's solar profile different?The typical annual yield is about 1,122 kWh per installed kWp, ranking Ulm #5 of 42 modelled locations in Germany. That is 7% above the median of the 42 Germany locations in this dataset. July is typically the strongest month and December the weakest; the stronger month produces about 3.6 times as much.

See the 12-month data
MonthMonthly outputDaily averageYear-to-year variation
MonthJanuaryMonthly output420 kWhDaily average13.5 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±88 kWh
MonthFebruaryMonthly output635 kWhDaily average22.7 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±191 kWh
MonthMarchMonthly output1,039 kWhDaily average33.5 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±190 kWh
MonthAprilMonthly output1,234 kWhDaily average41.1 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±218 kWh
MonthMayMonthly output1,271 kWhDaily average41.0 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±168 kWh
MonthJuneMonthly output1,334 kWhDaily average44.5 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±145 kWh
MonthJulyMonthly output1,352 kWhDaily average43.6 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±140 kWh
MonthAugustMonthly output1,258 kWhDaily average40.6 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±138 kWh
MonthSeptemberMonthly output1,094 kWhDaily average36.5 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±141 kWh
MonthOctoberMonthly output767 kWhDaily average24.7 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±99 kWh
MonthNovemberMonthly output444 kWhDaily average14.8 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±69 kWh
MonthDecemberMonthly output378 kWhDaily average12.2 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±92 kWh

Nearby solar forecasts

Compare Ulm with nearby cities

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Method and data

Every city uses a 10 kWp system facing south at 35 degrees with 14% system losses. Tomorrow's figure combines hourly weather with GridPassport's PV production and uncertainty model. The monthly profile uses the European Commission JRC PVGIS multi-year climate series. Roof direction, shade, snow, dirt, inverter clipping and local weather can change real output.

CSV and JSON snapshots are published under CC BY 4.0 with source attribution.