View of Vilnius, Lithuania

Lithuania · 10 kWp reference system

Vilnius solar forecast and PV yield

Photo: Scotch Mist,CC BY-SA 4.0. Cropped, resized and converted to WebP by GridPassport.

Forecast target: . Any “tomorrow” label on this page refers to this dated target.

Tomorrow's forecast
11.4 kWh
10 kWp reference system
Typical annual output
9,794 kWh
10 kWp reference system
Typical specific yield
979 kWh/kWp
Per year

Tuesday, September 1, 2026

About 11.4 kWh tomorrow

For a standard 10 kWp south-facing system in Vilnius, GridPassport estimates 11.4 kWh on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, with a likely range of 6.9-15.3 kWh. The strongest production window is expected at 15:00-19:00 local time.

Updated Aug 31, 2026, 02:01 AM GMT+3 · fresh snapshot
Likely range
6.9-15.3 kWh
Strongest window
15:00-19:00
Confidence
medium
Forecast my solar output

How to read and use the data

Vilnius solar forecast: daily weather versus long-term PV yield

The daily and annual figures answer different questions. Use the dated forecast to plan tomorrow, and the PVGIS specific yield to compare locations or estimate a typical year.

Dated, weather-based

Tomorrow's forecast

Tomorrow's value is a weather-based estimate for Tuesday, September 1, 2026: 11.4 kWh from the 10 kWp reference system, with a likely range of 6.9 kWh–15.3 kWh. It changes with the next weather forecast.

Multi-year climate baseline

PVGIS specific yield

Vilnius's PVGIS specific yield is about 979 kWh/kWp per year. It is a multi-year climate benchmark, not a prediction for tomorrow or for this calendar year. In the PVGIS profile, June is typically the strongest month and December the weakest.

3, 5 and 10 kWp reference systems

Scale the same assumptions to your system size

SystemTomorrow estimate (likely range)PVGIS typical year
3 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)3.4 kWh2.1 kWh–4.6 kWhPVGIS typical year2,938 kWh/year
5 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)5.7 kWh3.5 kWh–7.7 kWhPVGIS typical year4,897 kWh/year
10 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)11.4 kWh6.9 kWh–15.3 kWhPVGIS typical year9,794 kWh/year

Linear reference scaling only: south-facing, 35° tilt and 14% system losses. It does not resize inverter clipping, shade or local roof constraints.

From forecast to a household plan

Battery, EV, heat pump and flexible loads

Treat the forecast as a gross solar-energy budget before household base load and conversion losses. The numbers support scheduling; they do not guarantee surplus.

Battery

Keep room for the solar window

Use 15:00-19:00 as the first candidate charging window. Battery state of charge, reserve settings and inverter limits still decide how much can be stored.

Heat pump

Shift only flexible thermal demand

If comfort controls allow it, place discretionary hot-water heating or pre-heating inside 15:00-19:00. Never override frost protection, hygiene cycles or manufacturer limits.

Large loads

Avoid stacking appliances

A 3 kWp system scales to about 3.4 kWh for the day before household use. Run flexible loads sequentially during the strongest hours rather than assuming all forecast energy is simultaneous power.

Local questions

Solar forecast FAQ

How much could a 5 kWp solar system produce tomorrow in Vilnius?

Using the same south-facing, 35-degree and 14% loss assumptions, the 5 kWp estimate is 5.7 kWh for Tuesday, September 1, 2026, with a scaled likely range of 3.5 kWh–7.7 kWh. This is a linear reference-system estimate, not a site survey.

What does 979 kWh/kWp mean for Vilnius?

It means the PVGIS multi-year profile produces about 979 kWh in a typical year for each installed kWp under the reference assumptions. A 5 kWp system therefore scales to about 4,897 kWh in a typical year before site-specific adjustments.

Is the Vilnius forecast the same as the PVGIS annual estimate?

No. Tomorrow's forecast uses dated weather and an uncertainty band for one day. The PVGIS figure is a multi-year climate-based specific yield used for typical monthly and annual comparisons.

When should a battery, EV or heat pump use solar in Vilnius?

Start with 15:00-19:00, then check household base load, battery headroom, EV energy required and heat-pump safety or comfort constraints. The forecast estimates daily energy, not guaranteed instantaneous surplus.

Typical year

Solar production month by month in Vilnius

A standard 10 kWp system produces about 9,794 kWh in a typical year at this location. Monthly averages show seasonality; they are not a forecast for a specific year.

Values are kWh per month. Source: European Commission JRC PVGIS.

What makes Vilnius's solar profile different?The typical annual yield is about 979 kWh per installed kWp, ranking Vilnius #4 of 4 modelled locations in Lithuania. That is 1% below the median of the 4 Lithuania locations in this dataset. June is typically the strongest month and December the weakest; the stronger month produces about 8.4 times as much.

See the 12-month data
MonthMonthly outputDaily averageYear-to-year variation
MonthJanuaryMonthly output267 kWhDaily average8.6 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±90 kWh
MonthFebruaryMonthly output479 kWhDaily average17.1 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±115 kWh
MonthMarchMonthly output872 kWhDaily average28.1 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±211 kWh
MonthAprilMonthly output1,139 kWhDaily average38.0 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±172 kWh
MonthMayMonthly output1,313 kWhDaily average42.4 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±179 kWh
MonthJuneMonthly output1,343 kWhDaily average44.8 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±135 kWh
MonthJulyMonthly output1,300 kWhDaily average41.9 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±136 kWh
MonthAugustMonthly output1,193 kWhDaily average38.5 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±145 kWh
MonthSeptemberMonthly output930 kWhDaily average31.0 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±142 kWh
MonthOctoberMonthly output584 kWhDaily average18.8 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±170 kWh
MonthNovemberMonthly output216 kWhDaily average7.2 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±46 kWh
MonthDecemberMonthly output159 kWhDaily average5.1 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±42 kWh

Nearby solar forecasts

Compare Vilnius with nearby cities

Tomorrow, in one email

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Method and data

Every city uses a 10 kWp system facing south at 35 degrees with 14% system losses. Tomorrow's figure combines hourly weather with GridPassport's PV production and uncertainty model. The monthly profile uses the European Commission JRC PVGIS multi-year climate series. Roof direction, shade, snow, dirt, inverter clipping and local weather can change real output.

CSV and JSON snapshots are published under CC BY 4.0 with source attribution.