Netherlands · 10 kWp reference system

Leiden solar forecast and PV yield

Forecast target: . Any “tomorrow” label on this page refers to this dated target.

Tomorrow's forecast
39.3 kWh
10 kWp reference system
Typical annual output
10,619 kWh
10 kWp reference system
Typical specific yield
1,062 kWh/kWp
Per year

Monday, October 5, 2026

About 39.3 kWh tomorrow

For a standard 10 kWp south-facing system in Leiden, GridPassport estimates 39.3 kWh on Monday, October 5, 2026, with a likely range of 31.5-43.0 kWh. The strongest production window is expected at 13:00-17:00 local time.

Updated Oct 4, 2026, 11:01 PM GMT+2 · Automatically refreshed
Likely range
31.5-43.0 kWh
Strongest window
13:00-17:00
Confidence
medium
Forecast my solar output

How to read and use the data

Leiden solar forecast: daily weather versus long-term PV yield

The daily and annual figures answer different questions. Use the dated forecast to plan tomorrow, and the PVGIS specific yield to compare locations or estimate a typical year.

Dated, weather-based

Tomorrow's forecast

Tomorrow's value is a weather-based estimate for Monday, October 5, 2026: 39.3 kWh from the 10 kWp reference system, with a likely range of 31.5 kWh–43.0 kWh. It changes with the next weather forecast.

Multi-year climate baseline

PVGIS specific yield

Leiden's PVGIS specific yield is about 1,062 kWh/kWp per year. It is a multi-year climate benchmark, not a prediction for tomorrow or for this calendar year. In the PVGIS profile, May is typically the strongest month and December the weakest.

3, 5 and 10 kWp reference systems

Scale the same assumptions to your system size

SystemTomorrow estimate (likely range)PVGIS typical year
3 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)11.8 kWh9.4 kWh–12.9 kWhPVGIS typical year3,186 kWh/year
5 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)19.6 kWh15.8 kWh–21.5 kWhPVGIS typical year5,309 kWh/year
10 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)39.3 kWh31.5 kWh–43.0 kWhPVGIS typical year10,619 kWh/year

Linear reference scaling only: south-facing, 35° tilt and 14% system losses. It does not resize inverter clipping, shade or local roof constraints.

From forecast to a household plan

Battery, EV, heat pump and flexible loads

Treat the forecast as a gross solar-energy budget before household base load and conversion losses. The numbers support scheduling; they do not guarantee surplus.

Battery

Keep room for the solar window

Use 13:00-17:00 as the first candidate charging window. Battery state of charge, reserve settings and inverter limits still decide how much can be stored.

Heat pump

Shift only flexible thermal demand

If comfort controls allow it, place discretionary hot-water heating or pre-heating inside 13:00-17:00. Never override frost protection, hygiene cycles or manufacturer limits.

Large loads

Avoid stacking appliances

A 3 kWp system scales to about 11.8 kWh for the day before household use. Run flexible loads sequentially during the strongest hours rather than assuming all forecast energy is simultaneous power.

Local questions

Solar forecast FAQ

How much could a 5 kWp solar system produce tomorrow in Leiden?

Using the same south-facing, 35-degree and 14% loss assumptions, the 5 kWp estimate is 19.6 kWh for Monday, October 5, 2026, with a scaled likely range of 15.8 kWh–21.5 kWh. This is a linear reference-system estimate, not a site survey.

What does 1,062 kWh/kWp mean for Leiden?

It means the PVGIS multi-year profile produces about 1,062 kWh in a typical year for each installed kWp under the reference assumptions. A 5 kWp system therefore scales to about 5,309 kWh in a typical year before site-specific adjustments.

Is the Leiden forecast the same as the PVGIS annual estimate?

No. Tomorrow's forecast uses dated weather and an uncertainty band for one day. The PVGIS figure is a multi-year climate-based specific yield used for typical monthly and annual comparisons.

When should a battery, EV or heat pump use solar in Leiden?

Start with 13:00-17:00, then check household base load, battery headroom, EV energy required and heat-pump safety or comfort constraints. The forecast estimates daily energy, not guaranteed instantaneous surplus.

Checking your own installation? Learn how to compare a solar forecast with inverter production, or explore 5 kWp output in winter versus summer. Use the free PV forecast calculator for your exact location and roof settings.

Typical year

Solar production month by month in Leiden

A standard 10 kWp system produces about 10,619 kWh in a typical year at this location. Monthly averages show seasonality; they are not a forecast for a specific year.

Values are kWh per month. Source: European Commission JRC PVGIS.

What makes Leiden's solar profile different?The typical annual yield is about 1,062 kWh per installed kWp, ranking Leiden #4 of 22 modelled locations in Netherlands. That is 3% above the median of the 22 Netherlands locations in this dataset. May is typically the strongest month and December the weakest; the stronger month produces about 5.0 times as much.

See the 12-month data
MonthMonthly outputDaily averageYear-to-year variation
MonthJanuaryMonthly output359 kWhDaily average11.6 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±56 kWh
MonthFebruaryMonthly output530 kWhDaily average18.9 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±139 kWh
MonthMarchMonthly output957 kWhDaily average30.9 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±173 kWh
MonthAprilMonthly output1,272 kWhDaily average42.4 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±157 kWh
MonthMayMonthly output1,365 kWhDaily average44.0 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±141 kWh
MonthJuneMonthly output1,336 kWhDaily average44.5 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±130 kWh
MonthJulyMonthly output1,313 kWhDaily average42.4 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±150 kWh
MonthAugustMonthly output1,191 kWhDaily average38.4 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±116 kWh
MonthSeptemberMonthly output964 kWhDaily average32.1 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±75 kWh
MonthOctoberMonthly output658 kWhDaily average21.2 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±101 kWh
MonthNovemberMonthly output397 kWhDaily average13.3 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±61 kWh
MonthDecemberMonthly output276 kWhDaily average8.9 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±62 kWh

Nearby solar forecasts

Compare Leiden with nearby cities

Tomorrow, in one email

Get Leiden's solar forecast by email

Tomorrow's expected production, likely range and strongest hours. One useful email each day.

Daily email only. Analytics is optional. Unsubscribe in one click.Privacy

Method and data

Every city uses a 10 kWp system facing south at 35 degrees with 14% system losses. Tomorrow's figure combines hourly weather with GridPassport's PV production and uncertainty model. The monthly profile uses the European Commission JRC PVGIS multi-year climate series. Roof direction, shade, snow, dirt, inverter clipping and local weather can change real output.

CSV and JSON snapshots are published under CC BY 4.0 with source attribution.