Across 12 modelled locations in United Kingdom, a standard 10 kWp south-facing system produces about 9,516 kWh in a typical year on average. Tomorrow's weather-based city forecasts range from 10.6 to 41.6 kWh for the same reference setup.
Forecast for Tuesday, September 1, 2026 · Updated Aug 30, 2026, 11:01 PM UTC · City samples, not a national production forecast
Forecast target: . Any “tomorrow” label on this page refers to this dated target.
Tomorrow in United Kingdom
One system. Different local weather.
Using the same installation in every location isolates the effect of weather and geography. Enter your own roof on any city page for a personal estimate.
City average
28.5 kWh
Lowest city estimate
10.6 kWh
Highest city estimate
41.6 kWh
How to read and use the data
United Kingdom solar outlook: tomorrow's city forecasts versus PVGIS yield
This page compares 12 modelled locations on one reference system. It is a city comparison tool, not a measurement or forecast of national solar generation.
Dated, weather-based
Tomorrow's forecast
For Tuesday, September 1, 2026, the 10 kWp city estimates average 28.5 kWh and span 10.6 kWh–41.6 kWh. That span is geographic variation between modelled cities, not an uncertainty interval or national forecast.
Multi-year climate baseline
PVGIS specific yield
The modelled cities average about 952 kWh/kWp in the PVGIS typical-year profile. Across the 10 kWp reference systems, typical annual output ranges from 8,518 to 10,417 kWh. May has the highest modelled average monthly output and December the lowest.
3, 5 and 10 kWp reference systems
Scale the same assumptions to your system size
SystemTomorrow city average (city spread)PVGIS typical year
3 kWpTomorrow city average (city spread)8.5 kWh3.2 kWh–12.5 kWhPVGIS typical year2,855 kWh/year
5 kWpTomorrow city average (city spread)14.2 kWh5.3 kWh–20.8 kWhPVGIS typical year4,758 kWh/year
10 kWpTomorrow city average (city spread)28.5 kWh10.6 kWh–41.6 kWhPVGIS typical year9,516 kWh/year
Linear reference scaling only: south-facing, 35° tilt and 14% system losses. It does not resize inverter clipping, shade or local roof constraints.
From forecast to a household plan
Battery, EV, heat pump and flexible loads
Choose the nearest representative city before scheduling equipment. A country average can frame the day, but a local forecast and the home's own demand determine usable surplus.
Open the closest city profile and preserve battery headroom around its strongest forecast window. The 10.6 kWh–41.6 kWh country spread shows why one national schedule would be unreliable.
Shift only discretionary water heating or pre-heating after checking the nearest city's strongest hours. Comfort, frost protection and hygiene controls take priority.
Country figures are daily energy, not simultaneous power. Use a city forecast and run flexible loads sequentially after allowing for base household consumption.
Local questions
Solar forecast FAQ
How much could a 5 kWp solar system produce tomorrow in United Kingdom?
Across the 12 modelled locations, the 5 kWp estimates average 14.2 kWh for Tuesday, September 1, 2026 and span 5.3 kWh–20.8 kWh between cities. The spread is geographic, not a national uncertainty range.
Which modelled United Kingdom location has the highest typical PV output?
Cardiff has the highest and Glasgow the lowest typical annual output among the 12 locations in this dataset. The comparison uses the same 10 kWp reference system and PVGIS climate profile.
Is the United Kingdom city range a national solar forecast?
No. It is the minimum-to-maximum spread across 12 modelled city reference points. It does not aggregate installed solar systems, represent every local weather condition or provide a national generation total.
How should I use the United Kingdom forecast for a battery, EV or heat pump?
Select the nearest city and use its strongest forecast hours, then subtract household base load and respect battery, charger and heat-pump operating limits. Use the country page to compare locations, not to control equipment directly.
Representative locations
Solar forecasts for major cities in United Kingdom
The bars average the 12 city reference points. Typical annual output ranges from about 8,518 to 10,417 kWh for the 10 kWp setup. Of the locations modelled, Cardiff has the highest typical annual output and Glasgow the lowest.
331Jan
493Feb
828Mar
1099Apr
1208May
1167Jun
1170Jul
1054Aug
869Sep
605Oct
402Nov
291Dec
January331 kWh
February493 kWh
March828 kWh
April1,099 kWh
May1,208 kWh
June1,167 kWh
July1,170 kWh
August1,054 kWh
September869 kWh
October605 kWh
November402 kWh
December291 kWh
Typical monthly profiles use the European Commission JRC PVGIS multi-year climate series.