Панорамна снимка на град Пловдив

Bulgaria · 10 kWp reference system

Plovdiv solar forecast and PV yield

Photo: Община Пловдив,CC BY-SA 4.0. Cropped, resized and converted to WebP by GridPassport.

Forecast target: . Any “tomorrow” label on this page refers to this dated target.

Tomorrow's forecast
46.6 kWh
10 kWp reference system
Typical annual output
13,685 kWh
10 kWp reference system
Typical specific yield
1,369 kWh/kWp
Per year

Tuesday, September 1, 2026

About 46.6 kWh tomorrow

For a standard 10 kWp south-facing system in Plovdiv, GridPassport estimates 46.6 kWh on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, with a likely range of 38.0-54.1 kWh. The strongest production window is expected at 14:00-18:00 local time.

Updated Aug 31, 2026, 02:01 AM GMT+3 · fresh snapshot
Likely range
38.0-54.1 kWh
Strongest window
14:00-18:00
Confidence
high
Forecast my solar output

How to read and use the data

Plovdiv solar forecast: daily weather versus long-term PV yield

The daily and annual figures answer different questions. Use the dated forecast to plan tomorrow, and the PVGIS specific yield to compare locations or estimate a typical year.

Dated, weather-based

Tomorrow's forecast

Tomorrow's value is a weather-based estimate for Tuesday, September 1, 2026: 46.6 kWh from the 10 kWp reference system, with a likely range of 38.0 kWh–54.1 kWh. It changes with the next weather forecast.

Multi-year climate baseline

PVGIS specific yield

Plovdiv's PVGIS specific yield is about 1,369 kWh/kWp per year. It is a multi-year climate benchmark, not a prediction for tomorrow or for this calendar year. In the PVGIS profile, August is typically the strongest month and December the weakest.

3, 5 and 10 kWp reference systems

Scale the same assumptions to your system size

SystemTomorrow estimate (likely range)PVGIS typical year
3 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)14.0 kWh11.4 kWh–16.2 kWhPVGIS typical year4,106 kWh/year
5 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)23.3 kWh19.0 kWh–27.1 kWhPVGIS typical year6,843 kWh/year
10 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)46.6 kWh38.0 kWh–54.1 kWhPVGIS typical year13,685 kWh/year

Linear reference scaling only: south-facing, 35° tilt and 14% system losses. It does not resize inverter clipping, shade or local roof constraints.

From forecast to a household plan

Battery, EV, heat pump and flexible loads

Treat the forecast as a gross solar-energy budget before household base load and conversion losses. The numbers support scheduling; they do not guarantee surplus.

Battery

Keep room for the solar window

Use 14:00-18:00 as the first candidate charging window. Battery state of charge, reserve settings and inverter limits still decide how much can be stored.

Heat pump

Shift only flexible thermal demand

If comfort controls allow it, place discretionary hot-water heating or pre-heating inside 14:00-18:00. Never override frost protection, hygiene cycles or manufacturer limits.

Large loads

Avoid stacking appliances

A 3 kWp system scales to about 14.0 kWh for the day before household use. Run flexible loads sequentially during the strongest hours rather than assuming all forecast energy is simultaneous power.

Local questions

Solar forecast FAQ

How much could a 5 kWp solar system produce tomorrow in Plovdiv?

Using the same south-facing, 35-degree and 14% loss assumptions, the 5 kWp estimate is 23.3 kWh for Tuesday, September 1, 2026, with a scaled likely range of 19.0 kWh–27.1 kWh. This is a linear reference-system estimate, not a site survey.

What does 1,369 kWh/kWp mean for Plovdiv?

It means the PVGIS multi-year profile produces about 1,369 kWh in a typical year for each installed kWp under the reference assumptions. A 5 kWp system therefore scales to about 6,843 kWh in a typical year before site-specific adjustments.

Is the Plovdiv forecast the same as the PVGIS annual estimate?

No. Tomorrow's forecast uses dated weather and an uncertainty band for one day. The PVGIS figure is a multi-year climate-based specific yield used for typical monthly and annual comparisons.

When should a battery, EV or heat pump use solar in Plovdiv?

Start with 14:00-18:00, then check household base load, battery headroom, EV energy required and heat-pump safety or comfort constraints. The forecast estimates daily energy, not guaranteed instantaneous surplus.

Typical year

Solar production month by month in Plovdiv

A standard 10 kWp system produces about 13,685 kWh in a typical year at this location. Monthly averages show seasonality; they are not a forecast for a specific year.

Values are kWh per month. Source: European Commission JRC PVGIS.

What makes Plovdiv's solar profile different?The typical annual yield is about 1,369 kWh per installed kWp, ranking Plovdiv #1 of 5 modelled locations in Bulgaria. That is 2% above the median of the 5 Bulgaria locations in this dataset. August is typically the strongest month and December the weakest; the stronger month produces about 2.2 times as much.

See the 12-month data
MonthMonthly outputDaily averageYear-to-year variation
MonthJanuaryMonthly output721 kWhDaily average23.3 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±191 kWh
MonthFebruaryMonthly output849 kWhDaily average30.3 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±162 kWh
MonthMarchMonthly output1,143 kWhDaily average36.9 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±127 kWh
MonthAprilMonthly output1,280 kWhDaily average42.7 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±136 kWh
MonthMayMonthly output1,349 kWhDaily average43.5 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±130 kWh
MonthJuneMonthly output1,376 kWhDaily average45.9 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±94 kWh
MonthJulyMonthly output1,534 kWhDaily average49.5 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±98 kWh
MonthAugustMonthly output1,536 kWhDaily average49.5 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±99 kWh
MonthSeptemberMonthly output1,304 kWhDaily average43.5 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±98 kWh
MonthOctoberMonthly output1,082 kWhDaily average34.9 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±189 kWh
MonthNovemberMonthly output803 kWhDaily average26.8 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±135 kWh
MonthDecemberMonthly output710 kWhDaily average22.9 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±143 kWh

Nearby solar forecasts

Compare Plovdiv with nearby cities

Tomorrow, in one email

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Method and data

Every city uses a 10 kWp system facing south at 35 degrees with 14% system losses. Tomorrow's figure combines hourly weather with GridPassport's PV production and uncertainty model. The monthly profile uses the European Commission JRC PVGIS multi-year climate series. Roof direction, shade, snow, dirt, inverter clipping and local weather can change real output.

CSV and JSON snapshots are published under CC BY 4.0 with source attribution.