Dated, weather-based
Tomorrow's forecast
Tomorrow's value is a weather-based estimate for Tuesday, September 1, 2026: 50.8 kWh from the 10 kWp reference system, with a likely range of 43.6 kWh–57.8 kWh. It changes with the next weather forecast.
Bulgaria · 10 kWp reference system
Varna solar forecast and PV yield
Photo: Collage by Todor Bozhinov. Photograph authors and links (from top to bottom, left to right): Asparuhov most at night: File:Asparuhov most.jpg , Abator, cc-by-2.5 View of Varna from the beach: File:Varna Plage.JPG , Harrieta171, miltilicense Euxinograd Palace: File:Euxinograd Palace - view 1.jpg , Dimcho Panayotov (Benkovski), copyrighted free use Varna Archaeological Museum: File:Euxinograd Palace - view 1.jpg , Extrawurst, multilicense Varna Dramatic Theatre detail: File:Theater Varna.jpg , Nikola Gruev, GFDL Varna Cathedral: File:Varno katedralo.jpg , Umberto, multilicense Drazki torpedo boa,CC BY-SA 4.0. Cropped, resized and converted to WebP by GridPassport.
Forecast target: . Any “tomorrow” label on this page refers to this dated target.
- Tomorrow's forecast
- 50.8 kWh 10 kWp reference system
- Typical annual output
- 13,453 kWh 10 kWp reference system
- Typical specific yield
- 1,345 kWh/kWp Per year
Tuesday, September 1, 2026
About 50.8 kWh tomorrow
For a standard 10 kWp south-facing system in Varna, GridPassport estimates 50.8 kWh on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, with a likely range of 43.6-57.8 kWh. The strongest production window is expected at 12:00-16:00 local time.
Updated Aug 31, 2026, 02:01 AM GMT+3 · fresh snapshot- Likely range
- 43.6-57.8 kWh
- Strongest window
- 12:00-16:00
- Confidence
- high
How to read and use the data
Varna solar forecast: daily weather versus long-term PV yield
The daily and annual figures answer different questions. Use the dated forecast to plan tomorrow, and the PVGIS specific yield to compare locations or estimate a typical year.
Multi-year climate baseline
PVGIS specific yield
Varna's PVGIS specific yield is about 1,345 kWh/kWp per year. It is a multi-year climate benchmark, not a prediction for tomorrow or for this calendar year. In the PVGIS profile, August is typically the strongest month and December the weakest.
3, 5 and 10 kWp reference systems
Scale the same assumptions to your system size
SystemTomorrow estimate (likely range)PVGIS typical year
3 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)15.2 kWh13.1 kWh–17.3 kWhPVGIS typical year4,036 kWh/year
5 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)25.4 kWh21.8 kWh–28.9 kWhPVGIS typical year6,727 kWh/year
10 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)50.8 kWh43.6 kWh–57.8 kWhPVGIS typical year13,453 kWh/year
Linear reference scaling only: south-facing, 35° tilt and 14% system losses. It does not resize inverter clipping, shade or local roof constraints.
From forecast to a household plan
Battery, EV, heat pump and flexible loads
Treat the forecast as a gross solar-energy budget before household base load and conversion losses. The numbers support scheduling; they do not guarantee surplus.
Battery
Keep room for the solar window
Use 12:00-16:00 as the first candidate charging window. Battery state of charge, reserve settings and inverter limits still decide how much can be stored.
EV
Compare the charge with the 5 kWp budget
The scaled 5 kWp estimate is 25.4 kWh before household use. Compare the remainder after base load with the planned EV charge and stagger charging if needed.
Heat pump
Shift only flexible thermal demand
If comfort controls allow it, place discretionary hot-water heating or pre-heating inside 12:00-16:00. Never override frost protection, hygiene cycles or manufacturer limits.
Large loads
Avoid stacking appliances
A 3 kWp system scales to about 15.2 kWh for the day before household use. Run flexible loads sequentially during the strongest hours rather than assuming all forecast energy is simultaneous power.
Local questions
Solar forecast FAQ
How much could a 5 kWp solar system produce tomorrow in Varna?
Using the same south-facing, 35-degree and 14% loss assumptions, the 5 kWp estimate is 25.4 kWh for Tuesday, September 1, 2026, with a scaled likely range of 21.8 kWh–28.9 kWh. This is a linear reference-system estimate, not a site survey.
What does 1,345 kWh/kWp mean for Varna?
It means the PVGIS multi-year profile produces about 1,345 kWh in a typical year for each installed kWp under the reference assumptions. A 5 kWp system therefore scales to about 6,727 kWh in a typical year before site-specific adjustments.
Is the Varna forecast the same as the PVGIS annual estimate?
No. Tomorrow's forecast uses dated weather and an uncertainty band for one day. The PVGIS figure is a multi-year climate-based specific yield used for typical monthly and annual comparisons.
When should a battery, EV or heat pump use solar in Varna?
Start with 12:00-16:00, then check household base load, battery headroom, EV energy required and heat-pump safety or comfort constraints. The forecast estimates daily energy, not guaranteed instantaneous surplus.
Typical year
Solar production month by month in Varna
A standard 10 kWp system produces about 13,453 kWh in a typical year at this location. Monthly averages show seasonality; they are not a forecast for a specific year.
708Jan
790Feb
1071Mar
1264Apr
1416May
1435Jun
1572Jul
1600Aug
1296Sep
983Oct
667Nov
651Dec
Values are kWh per month. Source: European Commission JRC PVGIS.
What makes Varna's solar profile different?The typical annual yield is about 1,345 kWh per installed kWp, ranking Varna #2 of 5 modelled locations in Bulgaria. That is close to the median of the 5 Bulgaria locations in this dataset. August is typically the strongest month and December the weakest; the stronger month produces about 2.5 times as much.
See the 12-month data
MonthMonthly outputDaily averageYear-to-year variation
MonthJanuaryMonthly output708 kWhDaily average22.8 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±135 kWh
MonthFebruaryMonthly output790 kWhDaily average28.2 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±133 kWh
MonthMarchMonthly output1,071 kWhDaily average34.5 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±134 kWh
MonthAprilMonthly output1,264 kWhDaily average42.1 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±149 kWh
MonthMayMonthly output1,416 kWhDaily average45.7 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±82 kWh
MonthJuneMonthly output1,435 kWhDaily average47.8 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±116 kWh
MonthJulyMonthly output1,572 kWhDaily average50.7 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±107 kWh
MonthAugustMonthly output1,600 kWhDaily average51.6 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±63 kWh
MonthSeptemberMonthly output1,296 kWhDaily average43.2 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±107 kWh
MonthOctoberMonthly output983 kWhDaily average31.7 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±154 kWh
MonthNovemberMonthly output667 kWhDaily average22.2 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±114 kWh
MonthDecemberMonthly output651 kWhDaily average21.0 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±155 kWh
Nearby solar forecasts
Compare Varna with nearby cities
Tomorrow, in one email
Get Varna's solar forecast by email
Tomorrow's expected production, likely range and strongest hours. One useful email each day.
Method and data
Every city uses a 10 kWp system facing south at 35 degrees with 14% system losses. Tomorrow's figure combines hourly weather with GridPassport's PV production and uncertainty model. The monthly profile uses the European Commission JRC PVGIS multi-year climate series. Roof direction, shade, snow, dirt, inverter clipping and local weather can change real output.
CSV and JSON snapshots are published under CC BY 4.0 with source attribution.