Kvadraturen, Kristiansand

Norway · 10 kWp reference system

Kristiansand solar forecast and PV yield

Photo: Havstad112,CC BY-SA 4.0. Cropped, resized and converted to WebP by GridPassport.

Forecast target: . Any “tomorrow” label on this page refers to this dated target.

Tomorrow's forecast
35.2 kWh
10 kWp reference system
Typical annual output
10,224 kWh
10 kWp reference system
Typical specific yield
1,022 kWh/kWp
Per year

Tuesday, September 1, 2026

About 35.2 kWh tomorrow

For a standard 10 kWp south-facing system in Kristiansand, GridPassport estimates 35.2 kWh on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, with a likely range of 25.4-43.4 kWh. The strongest production window is expected at 15:00-19:00 local time.

Updated Aug 31, 2026, 01:01 AM GMT+2 · fresh snapshot
Likely range
25.4-43.4 kWh
Strongest window
15:00-19:00
Confidence
medium
Forecast my solar output

How to read and use the data

Kristiansand solar forecast: daily weather versus long-term PV yield

The daily and annual figures answer different questions. Use the dated forecast to plan tomorrow, and the PVGIS specific yield to compare locations or estimate a typical year.

Dated, weather-based

Tomorrow's forecast

Tomorrow's value is a weather-based estimate for Tuesday, September 1, 2026: 35.2 kWh from the 10 kWp reference system, with a likely range of 25.4 kWh–43.4 kWh. It changes with the next weather forecast.

Multi-year climate baseline

PVGIS specific yield

Kristiansand's PVGIS specific yield is about 1,022 kWh/kWp per year. It is a multi-year climate benchmark, not a prediction for tomorrow or for this calendar year. In the PVGIS profile, June is typically the strongest month and December the weakest.

3, 5 and 10 kWp reference systems

Scale the same assumptions to your system size

SystemTomorrow estimate (likely range)PVGIS typical year
3 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)10.6 kWh7.6 kWh–13.0 kWhPVGIS typical year3,067 kWh/year
5 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)17.6 kWh12.7 kWh–21.7 kWhPVGIS typical year5,112 kWh/year
10 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)35.2 kWh25.4 kWh–43.4 kWhPVGIS typical year10,224 kWh/year

Linear reference scaling only: south-facing, 35° tilt and 14% system losses. It does not resize inverter clipping, shade or local roof constraints.

From forecast to a household plan

Battery, EV, heat pump and flexible loads

Treat the forecast as a gross solar-energy budget before household base load and conversion losses. The numbers support scheduling; they do not guarantee surplus.

Battery

Keep room for the solar window

Use 15:00-19:00 as the first candidate charging window. Battery state of charge, reserve settings and inverter limits still decide how much can be stored.

Heat pump

Shift only flexible thermal demand

If comfort controls allow it, place discretionary hot-water heating or pre-heating inside 15:00-19:00. Never override frost protection, hygiene cycles or manufacturer limits.

Large loads

Avoid stacking appliances

A 3 kWp system scales to about 10.6 kWh for the day before household use. Run flexible loads sequentially during the strongest hours rather than assuming all forecast energy is simultaneous power.

Local questions

Solar forecast FAQ

How much could a 5 kWp solar system produce tomorrow in Kristiansand?

Using the same south-facing, 35-degree and 14% loss assumptions, the 5 kWp estimate is 17.6 kWh for Tuesday, September 1, 2026, with a scaled likely range of 12.7 kWh–21.7 kWh. This is a linear reference-system estimate, not a site survey.

What does 1,022 kWh/kWp mean for Kristiansand?

It means the PVGIS multi-year profile produces about 1,022 kWh in a typical year for each installed kWp under the reference assumptions. A 5 kWp system therefore scales to about 5,112 kWh in a typical year before site-specific adjustments.

Is the Kristiansand forecast the same as the PVGIS annual estimate?

No. Tomorrow's forecast uses dated weather and an uncertainty band for one day. The PVGIS figure is a multi-year climate-based specific yield used for typical monthly and annual comparisons.

When should a battery, EV or heat pump use solar in Kristiansand?

Start with 15:00-19:00, then check household base load, battery headroom, EV energy required and heat-pump safety or comfort constraints. The forecast estimates daily energy, not guaranteed instantaneous surplus.

Typical year

Solar production month by month in Kristiansand

A standard 10 kWp system produces about 10,224 kWh in a typical year at this location. Monthly averages show seasonality; they are not a forecast for a specific year.

Values are kWh per month. Source: European Commission JRC PVGIS.

What makes Kristiansand's solar profile different?The typical annual yield is about 1,022 kWh per installed kWp, ranking Kristiansand #1 of 7 modelled locations in Norway. That is 24% above the median of the 7 Norway locations in this dataset. June is typically the strongest month and December the weakest; the stronger month produces about 9.5 times as much.

See the 12-month data
MonthMonthly outputDaily averageYear-to-year variation
MonthJanuaryMonthly output221 kWhDaily average7.1 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±63 kWh
MonthFebruaryMonthly output395 kWhDaily average14.1 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±104 kWh
MonthMarchMonthly output897 kWhDaily average28.9 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±118 kWh
MonthAprilMonthly output1,270 kWhDaily average42.3 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±161 kWh
MonthMayMonthly output1,464 kWhDaily average47.2 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±167 kWh
MonthJuneMonthly output1,487 kWhDaily average49.6 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±143 kWh
MonthJulyMonthly output1,438 kWhDaily average46.4 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±145 kWh
MonthAugustMonthly output1,255 kWhDaily average40.5 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±87 kWh
MonthSeptemberMonthly output869 kWhDaily average29.0 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±113 kWh
MonthOctoberMonthly output524 kWhDaily average16.9 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±88 kWh
MonthNovemberMonthly output248 kWhDaily average8.3 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±89 kWh
MonthDecemberMonthly output157 kWhDaily average5.1 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±42 kWh

Nearby solar forecasts

Compare Kristiansand with nearby cities

Tomorrow, in one email

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Method and data

Every city uses a 10 kWp system facing south at 35 degrees with 14% system losses. Tomorrow's figure combines hourly weather with GridPassport's PV production and uncertainty model. The monthly profile uses the European Commission JRC PVGIS multi-year climate series. Roof direction, shade, snow, dirt, inverter clipping and local weather can change real output.

CSV and JSON snapshots are published under CC BY 4.0 with source attribution.