Poland Solar Forecast

Across 10 modelled locations in Poland, a standard 10 kWp south-facing system produces about 10,550 kWh in a typical year on average. Tomorrow's weather-based city forecasts range from 22.8 to 40.7 kWh for the same reference setup.

Forecast for Tuesday, September 1, 2026 · Updated Aug 30, 2026, 11:01 PM UTC · City samples, not a national production forecast

Forecast target: . Any “tomorrow” label on this page refers to this dated target.

Tomorrow in Poland

One system. Different local weather.

Using the same installation in every location isolates the effect of weather and geography. Enter your own roof on any city page for a personal estimate.

City average
29.6 kWh
Lowest city estimate
22.8 kWh
Highest city estimate
40.7 kWh

How to read and use the data

Poland solar outlook: tomorrow's city forecasts versus PVGIS yield

This page compares 10 modelled locations on one reference system. It is a city comparison tool, not a measurement or forecast of national solar generation.

Dated, weather-based

Tomorrow's forecast

For Tuesday, September 1, 2026, the 10 kWp city estimates average 29.6 kWh and span 22.8 kWh–40.7 kWh. That span is geographic variation between modelled cities, not an uncertainty interval or national forecast.

Multi-year climate baseline

PVGIS specific yield

The modelled cities average about 1,055 kWh/kWp in the PVGIS typical-year profile. Across the 10 kWp reference systems, typical annual output ranges from 10,051 to 10,899 kWh. June has the highest modelled average monthly output and December the lowest.

3, 5 and 10 kWp reference systems

Scale the same assumptions to your system size

SystemTomorrow city average (city spread)PVGIS typical year
3 kWpTomorrow city average (city spread)8.9 kWh6.8 kWh–12.2 kWhPVGIS typical year3,165 kWh/year
5 kWpTomorrow city average (city spread)14.8 kWh11.4 kWh–20.4 kWhPVGIS typical year5,275 kWh/year
10 kWpTomorrow city average (city spread)29.6 kWh22.8 kWh–40.7 kWhPVGIS typical year10,550 kWh/year

Linear reference scaling only: south-facing, 35° tilt and 14% system losses. It does not resize inverter clipping, shade or local roof constraints.

From forecast to a household plan

Battery, EV, heat pump and flexible loads

Choose the nearest representative city before scheduling equipment. A country average can frame the day, but a local forecast and the home's own demand determine usable surplus.

Battery

Use the nearest city, not the country mean

Open the closest city profile and preserve battery headroom around its strongest forecast window. The 22.8 kWh–40.7 kWh country spread shows why one national schedule would be unreliable.

Heat pump

Follow the local production window

Shift only discretionary water heating or pre-heating after checking the nearest city's strongest hours. Comfort, frost protection and hygiene controls take priority.

Large loads

Stagger flexible appliances

Country figures are daily energy, not simultaneous power. Use a city forecast and run flexible loads sequentially after allowing for base household consumption.

Local questions

Solar forecast FAQ

How much could a 5 kWp solar system produce tomorrow in Poland?

Across the 10 modelled locations, the 5 kWp estimates average 14.8 kWh for Tuesday, September 1, 2026 and span 11.4 kWh–20.4 kWh between cities. The spread is geographic, not a national uncertainty range.

Which modelled Poland location has the highest typical PV output?

Wrocław has the highest and Szczecin the lowest typical annual output among the 10 locations in this dataset. The comparison uses the same 10 kWp reference system and PVGIS climate profile.

Is the Poland city range a national solar forecast?

No. It is the minimum-to-maximum spread across 10 modelled city reference points. It does not aggregate installed solar systems, represent every local weather condition or provide a national generation total.

How should I use the Poland forecast for a battery, EV or heat pump?

Select the nearest city and use its strongest forecast hours, then subtract household base load and respect battery, charger and heat-pump operating limits. Use the country page to compare locations, not to control equipment directly.

Typical year

Monthly solar production across Poland

The bars average the 10 city reference points. Typical annual output ranges from about 10,051 to 10,899 kWh for the 10 kWp setup. Of the locations modelled, Wrocław has the highest typical annual output and Szczecin the lowest.

January339 kWh
February516 kWh
March908 kWh
April1,196 kWh
May1,300 kWh
June1,325 kWh
July1,318 kWh
August1,239 kWh
September1,032 kWh
October730 kWh
November368 kWh
December279 kWh

Typical monthly profiles use the European Commission JRC PVGIS multi-year climate series.

Local profiles

All 10 Poland city forecasts

Tomorrow, in one email

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