Poland · 10 kWp reference system

Tarnów solar forecast and PV yield

Forecast target: . Any “tomorrow” label on this page refers to this dated target.

Tomorrow's forecast
24.3 kWh
10 kWp reference system
Typical annual output
10,783 kWh
10 kWp reference system
Typical specific yield
1,078 kWh/kWp
Per year

Monday, October 5, 2026

About 24.3 kWh tomorrow

For a standard 10 kWp south-facing system in Tarnów, GridPassport estimates 24.3 kWh on Monday, October 5, 2026, with a likely range of 18.1-28.5 kWh. The strongest production window is expected at 13:00-17:00 local time.

Updated Oct 4, 2026, 11:01 PM GMT+2 · Automatically refreshed
Likely range
18.1-28.5 kWh
Strongest window
13:00-17:00
Confidence
medium
Forecast my solar output

How to read and use the data

Tarnów solar forecast: daily weather versus long-term PV yield

The daily and annual figures answer different questions. Use the dated forecast to plan tomorrow, and the PVGIS specific yield to compare locations or estimate a typical year.

Dated, weather-based

Tomorrow's forecast

Tomorrow's value is a weather-based estimate for Monday, October 5, 2026: 24.3 kWh from the 10 kWp reference system, with a likely range of 18.1 kWh–28.5 kWh. It changes with the next weather forecast.

Multi-year climate baseline

PVGIS specific yield

Tarnów's PVGIS specific yield is about 1,078 kWh/kWp per year. It is a multi-year climate benchmark, not a prediction for tomorrow or for this calendar year. In the PVGIS profile, July is typically the strongest month and December the weakest.

3, 5 and 10 kWp reference systems

Scale the same assumptions to your system size

SystemTomorrow estimate (likely range)PVGIS typical year
3 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)7.3 kWh5.4 kWh–8.6 kWhPVGIS typical year3,235 kWh/year
5 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)12.2 kWh9.1 kWh–14.3 kWhPVGIS typical year5,392 kWh/year
10 kWpTomorrow estimate (likely range)24.3 kWh18.1 kWh–28.5 kWhPVGIS typical year10,783 kWh/year

Linear reference scaling only: south-facing, 35° tilt and 14% system losses. It does not resize inverter clipping, shade or local roof constraints.

From forecast to a household plan

Battery, EV, heat pump and flexible loads

Treat the forecast as a gross solar-energy budget before household base load and conversion losses. The numbers support scheduling; they do not guarantee surplus.

Battery

Keep room for the solar window

Use 13:00-17:00 as the first candidate charging window. Battery state of charge, reserve settings and inverter limits still decide how much can be stored.

Heat pump

Shift only flexible thermal demand

If comfort controls allow it, place discretionary hot-water heating or pre-heating inside 13:00-17:00. Never override frost protection, hygiene cycles or manufacturer limits.

Large loads

Avoid stacking appliances

A 3 kWp system scales to about 7.3 kWh for the day before household use. Run flexible loads sequentially during the strongest hours rather than assuming all forecast energy is simultaneous power.

Local questions

Solar forecast FAQ

How much could a 5 kWp solar system produce tomorrow in Tarnów?

Using the same south-facing, 35-degree and 14% loss assumptions, the 5 kWp estimate is 12.2 kWh for Monday, October 5, 2026, with a scaled likely range of 9.1 kWh–14.3 kWh. This is a linear reference-system estimate, not a site survey.

What does 1,078 kWh/kWp mean for Tarnów?

It means the PVGIS multi-year profile produces about 1,078 kWh in a typical year for each installed kWp under the reference assumptions. A 5 kWp system therefore scales to about 5,392 kWh in a typical year before site-specific adjustments.

Is the Tarnów forecast the same as the PVGIS annual estimate?

No. Tomorrow's forecast uses dated weather and an uncertainty band for one day. The PVGIS figure is a multi-year climate-based specific yield used for typical monthly and annual comparisons.

When should a battery, EV or heat pump use solar in Tarnów?

Start with 13:00-17:00, then check household base load, battery headroom, EV energy required and heat-pump safety or comfort constraints. The forecast estimates daily energy, not guaranteed instantaneous surplus.

Checking your own installation? Learn how to compare a solar forecast with inverter production, or explore 5 kWp output in winter versus summer. Use the free PV forecast calculator for your exact location and roof settings.

Typical year

Solar production month by month in Tarnów

A standard 10 kWp system produces about 10,783 kWh in a typical year at this location. Monthly averages show seasonality; they are not a forecast for a specific year.

Values are kWh per month. Source: European Commission JRC PVGIS.

What makes Tarnów's solar profile different?The typical annual yield is about 1,078 kWh per installed kWp, ranking Tarnów #11 of 40 modelled locations in Poland. That is 2% above the median of the 40 Poland locations in this dataset. July is typically the strongest month and December the weakest; the stronger month produces about 3.7 times as much.

See the 12-month data
MonthMonthly outputDaily averageYear-to-year variation
MonthJanuaryMonthly output398 kWhDaily average12.8 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±111 kWh
MonthFebruaryMonthly output551 kWhDaily average19.7 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±99 kWh
MonthMarchMonthly output917 kWhDaily average29.6 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±186 kWh
MonthAprilMonthly output1,126 kWhDaily average37.5 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±185 kWh
MonthMayMonthly output1,242 kWhDaily average40.1 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±181 kWh
MonthJuneMonthly output1,276 kWhDaily average42.5 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±150 kWh
MonthJulyMonthly output1,316 kWhDaily average42.5 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±146 kWh
MonthAugustMonthly output1,264 kWhDaily average40.8 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±110 kWh
MonthSeptemberMonthly output1,041 kWhDaily average34.7 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±156 kWh
MonthOctoberMonthly output813 kWhDaily average26.2 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±168 kWh
MonthNovemberMonthly output482 kWhDaily average16.1 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±76 kWh
MonthDecemberMonthly output355 kWhDaily average11.5 kWh/dayYear-to-year variation±107 kWh

Nearby solar forecasts

Compare Tarnów with nearby cities

Tomorrow, in one email

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Method and data

Every city uses a 10 kWp system facing south at 35 degrees with 14% system losses. Tomorrow's figure combines hourly weather with GridPassport's PV production and uncertainty model. The monthly profile uses the European Commission JRC PVGIS multi-year climate series. Roof direction, shade, snow, dirt, inverter clipping and local weather can change real output.

CSV and JSON snapshots are published under CC BY 4.0 with source attribution.